Machine Learning in Engineering Science | NCKU + LAiMM | Fall 2026
Purpose: a fully worked, self-paced in-class practice with an optional extension. Weeks 11 and 18 are optional examination-readiness materials. These notebooks do not create weekly graded assignments.
Before running: choose a Python 3 kernel in Jupyter or a CPU runtime in Colab. Run every cell from top to bottom with Shift+Enter. Setup installs missing free packages. No API key or external dataset download is required.
Learning target: complete the calculation, inspect intermediate values, and explain why the protocol supports a limited claim.
Time: about 25-45 minutes including reading, prediction, execution, and explain-back.
Keep the seed fixed for the first run. Record actual outputs and package versions rather than copying a claimed performance number.
import sys, subprocess, importlib.util, platform, json, random, hashlib
from pathlib import Path
required = {"numpy": "numpy", "matplotlib": "matplotlib", "sklearn": "scikit-learn"}
missing = [package for module, package in required.items() if importlib.util.find_spec(module) is None]
if missing:
subprocess.check_call([sys.executable, "-m", "pip", "install", *missing])
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
SEED = 2026
random.seed(SEED)
np.random.seed(SEED)
rng = np.random.default_rng(SEED)
ARTIFACTS = Path("artifacts")
ARTIFACTS.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
print("Python:", platform.python_version(), "NumPy:", np.__version__, "Seed:", SEED)
Checkpoint. The environment cell must finish before any analysis cell. Restart and run all if a variable is missing.
Prepare for a written question: 18 true positives, 2 false negatives, 8 false positives, and 72 true negatives. Compute by hand before running.
tp,fn,fp,tn=18,2,8,72
summary={"recall":tp/(tp+fn),"precision":tp/(tp+fp),
"specificity":tn/(tn+fp),"accuracy":(tp+tn)/(tp+fn+fp+tn)}
print(summary)
assert np.isclose(summary["recall"],.9)
Checkpoint. Explain why precision is not recall. Recall is 0.9; the denominators refer to different populations.
A forecast at index t may use indices strictly below t. Write and inspect a counterexample with one future feature.
origin=100
good=np.arange(76,100); bad=np.arange(77,101)
print("Safe history:",bool((good<origin).all()))
print("Unsafe history:",bool((bad<origin).all()))
assert good.max()<origin and not (bad.max()<origin)
Checkpoint. The unsafe window contains index 100, the target time. Identify the error before discussing model accuracy.
A model report must state data, split, baseline, metric, limitation, and reproducibility. This schema supports a rehearsal and does not replace either examination.
oral_card={"task":"rolling one-step forecast","split":"chronological by target index",
"baseline":"last observed value","metric":"held-out MAE",
"limitation":"synthetic signal only","reproduction":"seed, versions, data hash, boundaries"}
for field,value in oral_card.items(): print(field+": "+value)
summary["oral_card"]=oral_card
Checkpoint. Explain each field without reading code. This is optional exam preparation, not a new graded assignment.
Export a JSON record with a seed, package version, and measured result. Download the artifacts directory before leaving Colab; runtime storage is temporary.
record={"week":11,"seed":SEED,"numpy":np.__version__,"python":platform.python_version(),"result":summary}
(ARTIFACTS/"week-11-evidence.json").write_text(json.dumps(record,indent=2))
print(json.dumps(record,indent=2))
Checkpoint. The evidence file must match the result you actually obtained. A saved screenshot alone does not permit rerunning the calculation.
1. Predict the effect of one change before editing code. Change one parameter, input, or boundary condition only.
2. Rerun all cells in a fresh kernel. Keep the original evidence record and compare the observed difference.
3. Explain the result using the mechanism, not just the final number.
4. Name one assumption that limits the claim, and a new test that could challenge it.
Troubleshooting: if installation fails, restore network access; if a variable is undefined, run earlier cells; if your output differs, compare package versions, seed, and data construction. Do not repeatedly edit code until a preferred score appears.
Completion criterion: one executed notebook, one evidence JSON, and a brief claim/evidence/limitation statement.